On December 7, 2024, the Kremlin publicly welcomed U.S. President Donald Trump's National Security Strategy, marking a rare instance of praise from Moscow for a document issued by its historical rival. The strategy articulated a vision of 'flexible realism' and warned of potential 'civilizational erasure' in Europe, while emphasizing the importance of negotiating an end to the conflict in Ukraine and restoring strategic stability with Russia.

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov noted that the adjustments in U.S. policy resonate with Russian perspectives, which is uncommon in the context of U.S.-Russia relations. He expressed optimism regarding the U.S. strategy's commitment to addressing NATO's expansion, although he cautioned that elements within the U.S. government, referred to as the 'deep state,' may attempt to undermine Trump's approach. Critics of the 'deep state' narrative argue it serves as a justification for consolidating power within the executive branch.

As the U.S. seeks to facilitate a peace agreement in Ukraine, officials claim they are nearing a resolution, although both Ukraine and Russia appear hesitant to endorse the proposed framework. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is scheduled to meet with leaders from the UK, France, and Germany to discuss the situation further. Zelenskyy has previously sought support from European allies during negotiations that have suggested territorial concessions by Ukraine.

Zelenskyy reported a challenging two-hour conversation with U.S. officials following three days of discussions with a Ukrainian delegation in Florida. He emphasized Ukraine's commitment to working with the U.S. to achieve peace, focusing on key issues that could end hostilities and mitigate the threat of further Russian aggression.

Despite claims of nearing a sustainable agreement, skepticism remains regarding the U.S. and Europe’s willingness to provide security guarantees that would effectively deter future Russian invasions. Additionally, it is uncertain whether Russian President Vladimir Putin would accept any terms involving the presence of Western troops in Ukraine.

U.S. officials have repeatedly asserted they are close to a resolution since Trump’s second term began, yet these assertions have often been met with skepticism. Keith Kellogg, the outgoing U.S. envoy to Ukraine, indicated that the administration's efforts to conclude the war are in the final stages, with unresolved issues surrounding territorial disputes and the status of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant.

As winter approaches, analysts in Kyiv suggest that while Ukraine is not yet in a position to sign any unfavorable agreements, the ongoing conflict continues to strain resources and morale. Recent attacks by Russia have targeted energy infrastructure, leaving many Ukrainians without power and heating as the country endures its fourth winter of war. The situation has been exacerbated by a corruption scandal affecting Zelenskyy’s administration, leading to significant political challenges. Recent drone and missile strikes have resulted in casualties and further damage to critical infrastructure, highlighting the ongoing humanitarian crisis as the conflict persists.