In a recent update to the National Security Strategy, the Trump administration has raised concerns about demographic changes in Europe, labeling it as a potential threat to NATO alliances. The document warns of what it describes as "civilizational erasure," suggesting that certain NATO member states could become majority non-European within a few decades. This assertion, made without supporting evidence, indicates a fear that Europe may become unrecognizable in the next 20 years if current trends continue.

The administration's language reflects apprehensions about the perceived erosion of national identities in European countries, advocating for U.S. diplomacy to preserve the "individual character and history" of these nations. This rhetoric aligns with far-right sentiments, including those expressed by Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, and highlights the rise of "patriotic European parties," which are often characterized by anti-immigrant and anti-Muslim positions. The document references the far-right coalition Patriots for Europe, which includes parties such as Germany's Alternative for Germany.

Experts have expressed concern regarding the implications of this document. Emily Harding, a director at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, noted that the rhetoric could incite fear regarding migration and reflects an outdated view of Europe, which is increasingly diverse and evolving. Harding characterized the document's tone as extreme and closely aligned with far-right political narratives.

Additionally, the National Security Strategy emphasizes economic interests, marking a departure from previous administrations that often promoted democratic values alongside U.S. interests. The current strategy prioritizes economic benefits for American companies, particularly in less powerful countries, and suggests a pragmatic approach to foreign relations that seeks peaceful commercial ties without imposing democratic or social changes that may conflict with local traditions.

This shift also includes a focus on reducing migration and a reluctance to criticize authoritarian regimes, viewing them primarily as potential economic partners. This contrasts sharply with the narrative from Trump's first term, which framed international relations as a struggle between repressive systems and free societies. The new approach reflects a narrower interpretation of U.S. interests, prioritizing economic gain over broader humanitarian or democratic considerations, raising questions about the future of transatlantic relations and collective security efforts amid ongoing global challenges.