The recent capture of Nicolás Maduro by U.S. forces has heightened tensions in Cuba, prompting the government to place its military on high alert. Cuban journalist Camila Acosta reported that the regime has mobilized military units and restricted troop movements in response to perceived threats from the U.S. While the Cuban government remains focused on military readiness, many ordinary Cubans express a desire for external assistance, specifically hoping for intervention from former President Donald Trump and U.S. Senator Marco Rubio.

The U.S. blockade of Venezuelan oil, which is crucial for Cuba's economy, has led to severe shortages of fuel, medicine, and food, with 89 percent of the population now living in extreme poverty. Acosta noted that social tensions are rising as the regime struggles to maintain control without popular support. The situation is further complicated by Mexico's reluctance to provide aid, as it faces pressure from the U.S. under President Andrés Manuel López Obrador.

Historically, Cuba has endured various crises, including the collapse of the Soviet Union, which previously provided substantial economic support. The current economic conditions are reminiscent of the 'Special Period' in the 1990s, characterized by significant GDP decline and shortages. The Cuban health sector, once a point of pride, is now in decline, with reports of insufficient medical personnel and resources.

Cuba's relationship with Venezuela has been pivotal, with past oil shipments supporting the Cuban economy. However, the recent geopolitical shifts, including the war in Ukraine, have limited Russia's ability to assist Cuba, while China, facing its own energy demands, is unable to provide the necessary support.

As Cuba navigates these challenges, the potential for a power struggle looms with the aging leadership of Raúl Castro and the uncertain future of Miguel Díaz-Canel. The resilience of the Cuban regime has been tested repeatedly, but the current crisis raises questions about its ability to adapt and survive without significant external support.